Confidence
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We classify not as true or false, but following the IPCC guidance note for translating likelihood terms into intervals when communicating scientific evidence[1][2]:
| Term | Likelihood of the Outcome |
|---|---|
| Virtually certain | 99-100% propability |
| Very likely | 90-100% propability |
| Likely | 66-100% propability |
| Abaout as likely as not | 33-66% propability |
| Unlikely | 0-33% propability |
| Very unlikely | 0-10% propability |
| Exceptionally unlikely | 0-1% propability |